PJM Wholesale Power Pricing Forecast Research Report for Energy Investment

Report Title

Frequency

Product Description

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Capacity Watch

Quarterly

Capacity Watch includes a regional 10-year Capacity price forecast, and in-depth analysis of current market issues affecting price outcomes. Impacts of reserve margin surpluses and forward capacity market values.*

Energy Watch

Quarterly

ESAI Power’s Energy Watch report includes reviews of market conditions, granular forecasts of pool-wide and zonal energy pricing, fuel input forecasts, policy changes, and how these impact energy prices and generator spark spreads looking forward.

Renewables Watch

Quarterly

ESAI Power’s Renewables Watch report includes solar, wind, hydroelectric, & storage. We outline regulatory and market factors that impact the supply and demand balance for Class I RECs and project the supply & demand balance forecast for the next decade.

Transmission Watch

Quarterly

Transmission Watch analyzes regional reliability issues, congestion in the context of RTO & State transmission policies. Regulatory & policy initiatives impacting transmission investments, and regular updates on the progress of significant transmission projects.

Emissions Watch

Quarterly

Emissions Watch provides regular updates and analysis on developments in the SO2, NOx and CO2 emissions markets as well as price forecasts for state and regional markets. Consistent and up to date analysis on the RGGI program and other state-specific emissions programs.

Generation Asset Monitor

Quarterly

Generation Asset Monitor provides an evaluation of the outlook for construction generation projects in ISO-NE, NYISO & PJM. Each project is assigned a “probability of completion factor in % terms" that is then applied to develop a forward assessment of likely capacity additions in each pool.

Northeast Energy Watch

Monthly

Northeast Energy Watch produces nine-month zonal pricing forecast & analysis of policy change, key market influencers in the Northeast regions, a natural gas forecast, analysis of Henry Hub and regional basis dynamics. The energy forecast put forth is based on ESAI and forward fuel forecasts and then compared with forward market energy prices.

Congestion Watch

Monthly

Ahead of each monthly FTR auction in the Northeast, Congestion Watch provides month-ahead assessments of the congestion component of zonal LMPs for NYISO, ISONE & PJM. We analyze key drivers for congestion pricing such as transmission and generation outages, system load & changes to fuel prices.

Northeast Next-Week & Bal-Week Report

Weekly

Short-term forecasts for PJM Western Hub, NY Zones A & J, ISO-NE Internal Hub. Analyze fundamental factors that present risk to short-term prices, including Demand, Supply, & Congestion. ESAI assigns a bullish/bearish indicator & explains the potential impact on prices.

Natural Gas Fund Watch

Weekly

One-week outlook and analysis of key near-term factors in the natural gas market. Includes a comprehensive look at the commodity fund (Wall Street traders) positions on NYMEX. Each factor is weighted to provide a near-term bullish/bearish forecast of market price direction.

Advisory Services

Ad Hoc

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