Energy & Capacity Markets Investment Strategy
ESAI supports private equity infrastructure investors and lenders on power market asset and portfolio acquisitions, refinancing assets, energy gross margin forecasts, asset valuations and potential sales processes in the PJM, NYISO and ISO-NE markets. Our Energy, Capacity, Emissions, and RECs Models are always kept up to date for our published research market forecasts, delivered to our Private Equity, Lender, and Independent Power Producer’s (IPPs) subscriber base.
Our forecasts on capacity, power, gas, emissions, and REC models and price forecasts are consistently updated for PJM, NYISO, ISO-NE, and MISO. We have conducted extensive valuation work with assets of all different fuel types across these pools. Additionally, ESAI regularly follows changes in the supply / demand balance, market rules, regulatory/policy challenges, tracking of the Interconnection Queues and power plant retirements to understand how these market changes may impact Capacity Market clearing prices, pool-wide and zonal energy prices, natural gas pricing, RGGI prices, and generator spark spreads moving forward.
Deep PJM, NYISO and ISO-NE Market Experience
ESAI has well-established, finely calibrated models and databases as input to our detailed, asset-specific assessments. We also have historical databases and extensive expertise about the key factors that have shaped market outcomes, power and gas prices, and generation asset performance over the last 20+ years. The market intelligence, model calibration, and regular data collection and updates that support our base case market outlooks provide a solid basis for the analysis of specific power plant valuations. Starting from this modeling framework, ESAI analysts incorporate market assumptions and details related to an asset in order to provide a fully transparent, detailed, facility-level, hourly forecast of Capacity revenues and Energy Gross Margin forecast.
Our experts will work closely with you to scope out your custom consulting project. We prepare detailed statements of work to support for your upcoming internal valuation, refinancing, strategic support or asset investment process.
Bankable M&A Asset Valuation Experience
Several factors distinguish ESAI’s analyst team and allow us to provide key insights and forecasts to support your investment transaction:
- Deep Expertise in Wholesale Power Markets
- Capacity, Power, Natural Gas, Transmission, Emissions, Congestion, and Renewables Experience
- Proprietary database of the Interconnection queues and forecast of power plant retirements.
- Detailed Energy Models for the PJM, NYISO and ISO-NE Power markets.
- Specificity around market assumptions in ESAI’s base case that enable build-out of additional down-side and up-side cases to support refinancing, buy-side or sell-side transactions.
- Locational Marginal Price Market (LMP) Analysis.
- Congestion and Basis Analysis.
Download an Overview of ESAI Power’s Consulting Practice
Download our Consulting Services for Energy Markets Brochure to learn how we are uniquely qualified to provide consulting services to support asset acquisition or sales processes in the PJM, NYISO and ISO-NE RTOs. We have deep expertise in forecasting prices, modeling electricity generation assets, conducting valuations, and monitoring market and regulatory issues.
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