Comprehensive Wholesale Power and Energy Market Research and Forecasts

PJM Load Forecast Update | February 2024 | Energy Watch Blog

Top ESAI Power Blog Posts for 2023

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Energy Watch Blog

PJM Load Forecast Update | February 2024 | Energy Watch Blog

ESAI Power's latest Energy Watch market update includes our current 10-year power and natural gas price forecast across PJM, NYISO and ISO-NE. The update also includes our natural gas price forecast, based on our fundamental long-term view, along with forward market prices for the initial years. This blog post will delve into the critical details behind our near-term and long-term 10-year energy market forecast for ISO-New England.
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PJM Set To Hold Capacity Auction In June After Receiving Mixed FERC Decisions | Capacity News

Ethan Howland reports in Utility Dive that after receiving two key Federal Energy Regulatory Commission decisions, the PJM Interconnection plans to hold its next capacity auction in June. Our Scott Niemann, Managing Director & Principal, said the FERC-approved changes will likely put upward pressure on capacity prices in most parts of PJM. Driven by pending power plant retirements, prices in PJM’s Southwest MAAC zone could break higher than the overall regional transmission organization.
Capacity Watch Blog

ISO-NE FCA18 Auction Dynamics and Capacity Price Forecast | Capacity Watch Blog

In ESAI’s latest Capacity Watch report, we analyze ISO-NE FCA18, Forward Capacity Auction. ESAI's coverage includes auction parameters, qualified capacity, and expected auction dynamics. These are all detailed in our Capacity Watch report.
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Top ESAI Power Blog Posts for 2023

It has been a banner year for news in the wholesale power space and our top five blog posts reflect that with heavy concentration of capacity and renewable energy news in NYISO, MISO and the PJM Interconnection.
Congestion Watch Blog

RGGI Auction 62 Clears at CCR Trigger of $14.88 | Emissions Watch Blog

The most recent RGGI quarterly auction (Auction 62) was held on December 6, 2023. The clearing price was $14.88/ton, 7.4 percent higher than the clearing price of $13.85/ton on September 6, 2023 (see Figure 1). Auction 62 represents the third consecutive auction with increasing clearing prices, which follows three prior consecutive auctions with decreasing clearing prices.
ISO-NE Auction Track Record

ISO-NE Forward Capacity Auction Forecast Track Record

Generation owners and their investors are placing big bets (often in the hundreds of millions of dollars) in the ISO-New England Capacity Market.  As Mark Christie, FERC Commissioner, put it in March 2023: “Capacity Markets are characterized by such hopeless complexity and impenetrable opacity that they represent the example of a game that only insiders can play and win.” ESAI is now offering the opportunity to request our Pre-Auction Capacity Price Forecasts for ISO New England's Forward Capacity Auction (FCA) over the past 7 Capacity Auctions.

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ESAI Power delivers analytics and insights to wholesale power market participants via a suite of market research publications covering these products.

  • Capacity
  • Energy
  • Renewable Energy
  • Transmission
  • Emissions
  • Congestion
  • Generation Asset Monitor
  • Long-Term Forecasts
  • Medium-Term Forecasts
  • Short-Term Forecasts

Who We Serve

We provide wholesale power market services for U.S. power market participants, including:

  • Investors – Direct Equity, Lenders, Developers, and Investment Banks.
  • Generation Owners & Operators
  • Utilities & Retail Electric Suppliers
  • Regulators & RTOs
  • Traders
  • Corporate Energy Buyers

Our market research is based on fundamentals. We closely monitor forward curves and granular transactional activity. ESAI’s differentiators include detailed fundamental inputs, always transparent forecast assumptions, assessment of risks, & an analyst access service that enables clients to tap into ESAI’s base case, downside and upside scenarios for the PJM, NYISO, ISO-NE and MISO energy markets.

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