Energy Watch

ESAI Power helps investors, generation owners, developers, utilities, regulators, and energy buyers understand the micro/macro trends that impact energy prices. ESAI produces 10-year power price forecasts for major price hubs and zones within the three Northeast power markets using security-constrained dispatch modeling.

We deliver an ongoing analysis of both North American and Northeast regional natural gas markets. Gas price forecasts and market commentary are included in the Energy Watch^TM quarterly and monthly publications. ESAI Power provides basis forecasts for most Northeast delivered gas pricing points, including Tetco M3, Transco Zone 6 New York, and Algonquin City Gate. We track pipeline and gas infrastructure projects and analyze changes in pipeline system constraints that can impact regional basis spreads.

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Are Power Forwards Overvalued for Summer 2022? | Energy Watch Blog

May 11, 2022

Power forward contracts for this summer are trading north of $100/MWh in PJM, NYISO, and ISO-NE. Implied forward spark spreads – an indicator of the profitability of gas-fired power plants – have exploded, greatly exceeding anything that has historically been realized in the power markets.

EPA Wastewater Rules and PJM Coal Retirements | Emissions Watch Blog

March 1, 2022

Coal-fired power plants are subject to a myriad of federal environmental regulations that have led to significant retirement waves when plant owners face capital expenditures for compliance that cannot be supported by market revenues. Many coal plant owners are now facing significant potential compliance costs due to rules regulating disposal of coal combustion residuals (CCRs). CCRs, also known as coal ash, are produced from the process of burning coal and operating flue gas desulfurization equipment at coal-fired facilities.

Regulations Affecting Coal Combustion Residuals (CCRs) Under EPA Rules | Energy Watch Blog

February 24, 2022

ESAI Power's latest issue of EnergyWatch™ discusses regulations affecting coal combustion residuals (CCR) under EPA rules for wastewater discharge and CCR disposal and handling. Several coal-fired plants in PJM have announced retirement plans or are at-risk of retirement due to compliance requirements with these rules. Clients of our Energy Watch service received an accompanying spreadsheet with data about the affected plants. Also included are ESAI's Power and Natural Gas forward pricing forecasts in PJM, NYISO, ISO-NE.

Northeast’s Inflated Natural Gas and Power Forwards | Energy Watch Blog

October 20, 2021

The upcoming winter's natural gas and power prices outlook for PJM, NYISO and ISO-New England continue to trend up despite the warmer-than-normal weather forecast. The forwards appear overvalued and ESAI Power holds its bearish stance on natural gas and power prices. The markets bullish outlook is based on a recent uptick in delivered gas and global LNG prices, but ESAI Power's outlook has key insights driving a stable gas and power forecast.

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Read Our Latest Energy Watch Blog Posts

Are Power Forwards Overvalued for Summer 2022? | Energy Watch Blog

EPA Wastewater Rules and PJM Coal Retirements | Emissions Watch Blog

Regulations Affecting Coal Combustion Residuals (CCRs) Under EPA Rules | Energy Watch Blog

Northeast’s Inflated Natural Gas and Power Forwards | Energy Watch Blog

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