NYISO Energy Watch Market Outlook | Energy Watch

ESAI Power’s latest NYISO Energy Watch market update includes our current 10-year forecast for power and natural gas prices across the New York ISO. This update is based on ESAI’s fundamental long-term view, along with forward market prices for the initial years. The report includes both our detailed Near-Term and Long-Term outlooks.

ESAI’s NYISO Energy Watch Near-Term update forecasts include the following:

  • NYISO Gas prices for Henry Hub, Algonquin, Iroquois Z2, TZ6 NY and Niagara.
  • NYISO Zonal On-Peak Power prices for Zone G, Zone J, Zone K and Zone A.
  • Hub On-Peak Spark Spreads for Zone G, Zone J, Zone K and Zone A.

ESAI’s Long-Term NYISO Energy Market forecast [10-years] includes:

  • Zonal On-Peak Power prices for Zone A, Zone G, Zone J and Zone K.
  • Long-term Gas Price forecast for Henry Hub, Dominion South,Niagara, Iroquois Z2 and TZ6-NY.
  • Zonal On-Peak Spark Spreads for Zone A, Zone G, Zone J and Zone K.
  • Detailed Power Price forecasts for Western Hub, AD Hub, Eastern Hub and NI Hub.
  • Fully transparent NYISO Power Price forecast Assumptions, including Demand assumptions, retirement assumptions, and planned transmission upgrades / additional import capability.
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ESAI Power continuously monitors and analyzes the power and natural gas markets in PJM, New York and New England. Our ongoing assessments include reviews of market conditions, granular forecasts of pool-wide and zonal energy pricing, fuel input forecasts, policy changes, and how these may impact energy prices and generator spark spreads looking forward.

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Energy Watch

Energy WatchTM is a quarterly analysis of market and policy issues affecting energy pricing dynamics over the next 10-year period for both the power and natural gas sectors. This analysis includes forecasts of pool-wide and zonal energy prices in New England, New York, and PJM, including forecasts of fuel inputs. Supporting assumptions are provided in each quarterly report. Forecast data is provided in spreadsheet format, which includes monthly on-peak, off-peak, and 7×24 zonal power prices, along with delivered natural gas prices for most Northeast regional pricing points.

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ESAI Power evaluates Renewable Energy issues, markets and trends in the PJM, New York, and New England market footprints. Coverage includes solar, onshore and offshore wind, hydroelectric, and storage. For each region, ESAI Power details the regulatory and market factors that impact the supply and demand balance for Class I Renewable Energy Credits (RECs) and projects the supply and demand balance of Class I RECs through 2030.

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Capacity WatchTM provides a quarterly analysis of capacity markets and policy issues that impact capacity price outcomes over a 10-year forecast horizon. Also provided is an evaluation of the outlook for the construction of each generation project in PJM, NYISO, ISO-NE and MISO. Every project is assigned a “probability of completion” factor in percentage terms which is then applied to develop a forward assessment of likely capacity additions within a particular pool. The impacts of new generation and retirements on reserve margin surpluses and forward capacity market values is updated and presented in each issue. ESAI’s project database (Generation Asset MonitorTM) is updated and presented with each issue.