Northeast Energy Watch Monthly Report Released for October 2020
Published October 23, 2020
As fall weather settles across the Northeast and the cooling season comes to an end, load reductions due to the Covid-19 pandemic (mostly in the commercial sector) resurface. Overall electricity demand in PJM and New York has begun to show greater deviations from pre-pandemic expectations than during the summer, when additional residential cooling demand propped up electric loads. Electric heating demand might offset the waning residential cooling demand in New England. Higher natural gas prices are expected to support robust Northeast power prices this winter, resulting in healthy spark spreads in the gas-centric power pools of New England and New York. In PJM, competitive coal-fired generation is likely to dampen spark spreads during periods of high gas prices.
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Energy Watch MonthlyTM provides nine-month zonal pricing forecast and discussion of policy changes and other key market influencers in the Northeast regions, as well as a natural gas forecast which provides analysis of Henry Hub and regional basis dynamics. The energy forecast put forth in this monthly is based on both ESAI and forward fuel forecasts and compared with forward market energy prices.