MISO Capacity Price Forecast PRA 2023/24 | Capacity Watch Blog
November 2, 2022 | Blog Post | capacity-watch, miso
ESAI brings 20 years of experience analyzing and forecasting the Capacity Markets in PJM, ISO-NE and NYISO, into our new Capacity coverage of MISO.
ESAI also maintains a MISO Generation Asset Monitor (Delivered to subscribers in excel) that tracks the MISO Interconnection queue to forecast Renewables Additions that produces a Probability Weighted Renewable Additions forecast, any Fossil Additions, and also any plant Retirements or forecasting plants at risk of retirement. This is input to produce our 10-year MISO forward Supply curve that is then balanced with Demand to help us produce our long term MISO Capacity PRA 2023/24 Forecast.
Every quarter, ESAI provides updates on supply & demand fundamentals, market rule developments, & policy changes that impact MISO capacity market outcomes. This service includes:
- Pre-Auction forecast and briefing prior to each PRA.
- Post-Auction results and impact on MISO Capacity prices moving forward.
- Quarterly briefing (PowerPoint) summarizing recent developments related to the MISO RA market including 10-year supply and demand outlook.
- Quarterly MISO PRA 2023/24 forecast update
- MISO Generation Asset Monitor (GAM) published monthly with New Capacity and Retirement Data
- Annual Market Briefing And Update
- Full Analyst Access to our team of MISO Capacity experts.
For more information go here for our MISO Capacity Service. For our full Capacity Forecasts, see our Capacity Market Coverage. And to request access to ESAI’s Quarterly Power Service, please request a free trial.
For Investors & Developers
ESAI Power provides investment, valuation, and risk assessment support for financial firms investing in the Northeast power markets. For 20 years, ESAI Power has provided investors with objective analysis based on sound fundamental modeling. With a deep understanding of market rules and regulatory issues that impact market outcomes in PJM, NYISO and ISO-NE, ESAI’s reports include price forecasts for capacity, energy & RECs. Our market reports and analyst insights into complex market dynamics help investors make difficult investment decisions in the ever-changing and evolving Northeast power markets.
Learn About Capacity Watch
Capacity WatchTM provides quarterly analysis of capacity markets and policy issues that impact capacity price outcomes over a 10-year forecast horizon. Also provided is an evaluation of the outlook for the construction of each generation project in PJM, New York, and New England. Every project is assigned a “probability of completion” factor in percentage terms which is then applied to develop a forward assessment of likely capacity additions within a particular pool. The impacts of new generation and retirements on reserve margin surpluses and forward capacity market values is updated and presented in each issue. ESAI’s Project Database is updated and presented with each issue.
MISO Capacity Market Service
Our MISO Capacity Market Service analysis reports offer an in-depth 10-year supply and demand forecast on the MISO Capacity market. Every quarter, ESAI provides updates on supply & demand fundamentals, market rule developments, & policy changes that impact MISO capacity market outcomes. This service includes: Briefing about the 2022/23 PRA results, Quarterly briefing (PowerPoint) summarizing recent developments related to the MISO RA market, Auction results, FERC filings and rule changes, Stakeholder discussions and more.
Please contact us for more information about our research product publications or our consulting services.