Learn about our short-term power forecasts; Natural Gas Fund Watch, Bal-Week & Next Week Reports and Near-Term Price Forecast Advisory Service.
The Bal-Week and Next-Week reports provide short-term forecasts for key hubs in Northeast power markets; The PJM Western Hub, New York Zones A and J, and the ISO-NE Internal Hub. These weekly reports include analyst commentary on expectations for fundamental factors that present risk to short-term power prices, including Demand, Supply, and Congestion. For each fundamental factor, our analyst team assigns a bullish/bearish/neutral indicator and explains how forecast events, such as new transmission outages or a natural gas pipeline constraint, might affect power prices. High and Low sensitivities accompany our forecasts, providing a probabilistic range of expected settled power prices during the Bal-Week and Next-Week periods.
ESAI Power’s Near-Term Price Forecast Advisory service is a weekly call that expands and supplements ESAI’s weekly and monthly energy offerings. This service extends beyond ESAI’s standard set of hub and zonal forecasts and provides tailored analysis unique to the client’s individual generation portfolio. Based on scheduled transmission outages and anticipated system conditions, ESAI analysts study the client’s congestion exposure at a detailed nodal level and provide expectations for congestion risk in the coming weeks. Analysis will also address the specific operational need of each client, be it gas procurement advice, outage scheduling, or hedging congestion risk with FTRs. Every generator portfolio is unique, and every asset manager faces different challenges and risks that require a tailored approach – ESAI’s near-term advisory service addresses the asset manger’s need for customized support.
Natural Gas Fund WatchTM A one-week outlook and analysis of key near-term factors in the natural gas market. This includes a fundamental overview, a technical trend analysis, and a comprehensive look at the commodity fund (Wall Street traders) positions on the NYMEX exchange. Each of these factors is weighted to provide the client with a near-term bullish/bearish forecast of market price direction.
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